Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.091360 0.144588 0.208008 0.286390 0.378332 0.480834 0.601983
2025-12-14 0.023999 0.076425 0.157432 0.274128 0.425955 0.608061 0.835583
2025-12-21 0.008503 0.057791 0.151619 0.299614 0.502363 0.753593 1.074726
2025-12-28 0.001870 0.045144 0.148887 0.325738 0.577795 0.897522 1.312705
2026-01-04 NaN 0.032653 0.140326 0.339376 0.633859 1.015320 1.517490
2026-01-11 NaN 0.028780 0.146533 0.374787 0.719359 1.170598 1.768772
2026-01-18 NaN 0.023631 0.147513 0.400649 0.790939 1.307763 1.997675
2026-01-25 NaN 0.015395 0.136239 0.403865 0.828995 1.400571 2.170752
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005542 0.109198 0.374692 0.816961 1.425431 2.256738
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000490 0.081300 0.336983 0.788009 1.424861 2.308170
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.068144 0.325042 0.796586 1.473821 2.422187
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.063688 0.330953 0.833003 1.560946 2.585713
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.054869 0.326177 0.853819 1.629503 2.729730
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.042929 0.310241 0.855155 1.670650 2.838423
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.047038 0.338208 0.931060 1.817910 3.087570
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.050988 0.365839 1.006594 1.964930 3.336803
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.050426 0.380402 1.059708 2.080004 3.543829
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.057720 0.417980 1.152713 2.252470 3.827446
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.061506 0.445380 1.228267 2.400099 4.078293
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.057141 0.448782 1.262383 2.488415 4.250452
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.042595 0.417883 1.235393 2.488029 4.303910
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.027822 0.377846 1.188967 2.457487 4.315499
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.021693 0.365143 1.190523 2.496143 4.419320